Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-56.5 pp
Signal Score
82/100
Data Confidence
High (88)
24h probability fell 56.5pp; volume is 1.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 56.5pp
- 24h volume is 1.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $221,697
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-56.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-41.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$315.8K
Volume vs Baseline
1.9x baseline
Liquidity
$221.7K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Attention Score
69
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 82/100.