Prediction Radar
Find the prediction markets changing fastest
Track Polymarket probability movements, attention spikes, and high-quality signals — ranked by signal quality, not noise.
Built for people who want a fast daily briefing of where prediction markets are changing their minds. Signal discovery only — not betting advice.
Top Movers
Largest validated probability shifts, weighted by market significance and volume.
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
24h Probability Shift pp means percentage point. Example: 40 percent to 78 percent equals plus 38pp
-15.0 pp
Probability
71%
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$63.0K
Signal Score
39/100
Data Confidence
Medium (60)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
24h Probability Shift pp means percentage point. Example: 40 percent to 78 percent equals plus 38pp
+8.0 pp
Probability
83%
Volume vs Baseline
2.4x baseline
Liquidity
$705.4K
Signal Score
44/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
Emerging Signals
Markets gaining attention now: volume spikes with meaningful probability movement.
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Attention Spike
6.5x baseline
Volume vs baseline · Attention score focus
Probability
67%
24h Change
-4.5 pp
24h Volume
$125.4K
Signal Score
54/100
Data Confidence
High (85)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Attention Spike
28.7x baseline
Volume vs baseline · Attention score focus
Probability
11%
24h Change
+4.0 pp
24h Volume
$90.0K
Signal Score
47/100
Data Confidence
High (80)
Narrative Trends
Stories forming across related prediction markets — not single-market noise.
Kansas Senate Election Winner
2/2 markets active; median |24h move| 4.5pp; aggregate volume 10.1x baseline; direction mixed
Texas Senate Election Winner
2/2 markets active; median |24h move| 3.5pp; aggregate volume 4.3x baseline; direction mixed
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
2/2 markets active; median |24h move| 1.0pp; aggregate volume 8.8x baseline; direction mixed
Which party will win the House in 2026?
2/2 markets active; median |24h move| 1.0pp; aggregate volume 5.1x baseline; direction mixed
Fed Decision in October?
2/2 markets active; median |24h move| 7.5pp; aggregate volume 1.9x baseline; direction mixed
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
2/2 markets active; median |24h move| 10.0pp; direction lower
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
1/2 markets active; median |24h move| 1.0pp; aggregate volume 1.9x baseline; direction mixed
Daily Radar
Today's highest quality signals. Curated by signal score and data confidence.
Looking for more context?
Browse the full tracked market catalog by volume, search titles, and open any market for history and confidence detail.
How it works
A lightweight signal radar for prediction markets.
- Sync Polymarket markets Public API data is refreshed about every 2 hours.
- Score meaningful moves Probability shifts, volume spikes, liquidity, and history coverage are ranked into Top Movers, Emerging Signals, and Daily Radar.
- Open a signal for context Click any card for probability history, confidence, and why it was selected — then jump to Polymarket if you want the source market.
Prediction Radar is signal discovery, not financial or betting advice. Data source: Polymarket public API.
Read the full methodology →