Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?

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Current Probability

7.2%

24h Change

-2.7 pp

Signal Score

46/100

Data Confidence

High (88)

24h probability fell 2.7pp; volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 24 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-31 00:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 2.7pp
  • 24h volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $70,058

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

7.2%

24h Change

-2.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$84.5K

Volume vs Baseline

2.5x baseline

Liquidity

$70.1K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 13, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 46/100.

Probability Momentum 9
Volume Activity 57
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 98
Data Confidence High (88)

Next Steps

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