Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+42.1 pp

Signal Score

93/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability rose 42.1pp; volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-13 22:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 42.1pp
  • 24h volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $465,347

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Sep 13, 10:00 PM

53% 77% 100% Sep 13 Sep 13 Sep 13 Sep 13 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 23 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+42.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

23 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 13, 10:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100.0%
9/13/2026, 9:00:00 PM 87.3%
9/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM 78.3%
9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM 74.6%
9/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM 70.5%
9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM 59.2%
9/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM 58.4%
9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM 58.7%
9/13/2026, 3:45:00 PM 59.0%
9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM 59.2%
9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM 59.1%
9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM 58.9%
9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM 58.6%
9/13/2026, 11:15:00 AM 58.6%
9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM 58.6%
9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM 58.6%
9/13/2026, 9:00:00 AM 58.3%
9/13/2026, 8:00:00 AM 58.0%
9/13/2026, 7:00:00 AM 58.0%
9/13/2026, 6:00:00 AM 58.0%
9/13/2026, 5:00:00 AM 58.0%
9/13/2026, 4:00:00 AM 57.6%
9/13/2026, 3:00:00 AM 57.6%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+12.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$634.8K

Volume vs Baseline

4.8x baseline

Liquidity

$465.3K

Market Significance

High (85)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 13, 2026

Attention Score

99

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 93/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 98
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 58
Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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