Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-5.7 pp

Signal Score

57/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability fell 5.7pp; volume is 5.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-06 23:38 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 5.7pp
  • 24h volume is 5.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $210,147

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

-5.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$293.4K

Volume vs Baseline

5.8x baseline

Liquidity

$210.1K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 13, 2026

Attention Score

75

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 57/100.

Probability Momentum 19
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 63
Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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