Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Open · Resolves in 51 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

2.3%

24h Change

+0.7 pp

Signal Score

50/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability rose 0.7pp; volume is 10.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 19:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 0.7pp
24h volume is 10.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $154,550

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

2.3%

24h Change

+0.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 07:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	2.3%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.8%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	1.6%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	1.8%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	1.8%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	1.8%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	1.8%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	1.7%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.8%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	1.8%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	1.7%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.8%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.7%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	1.7%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.7%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.7%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.7%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$60.9K

Volume vs Baseline

10.5x baseline

Liquidity

$154.5K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 51 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.

Probability Momentum 2

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 74

Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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