Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

volume is 4.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability was effectively unchanged
24h volume is 4.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $761,963

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

81 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 04:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 10:15:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 3:45:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$79.3K

Volume vs Baseline

4.6x baseline

Liquidity

$762.0K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 95

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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