Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Open · Resolves in 53 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

1.2%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 08:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $99,656

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

1.2%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

17h of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	1.2%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	1.2%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.4%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	1.4%
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	1.4%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	1.4%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.4%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.9%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	2.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	2.5%
8/7/2026, 11:45:00 PM	2.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	2.4%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	2.3%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	2.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	4.0%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	4.3%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	2.6%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	1.6%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	0.8%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	1.0%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	2.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$293.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$99.7K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 53 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗