Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 0.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 07:42 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Low liquidity ($1,771)
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Jul 30, 07:30 AM

0% 3% 1% Jul 29 Jul 29 Jul 29 Jul 30 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 23 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

42 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$21.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$1.8K

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jan 31, 2026

Attention Score

14

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 69
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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