Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

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Current Probability

93.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 0.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-18 04:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 1.0pp
24h volume is 0.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $109,623

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

93.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

10 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 18, 04:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM	93.5%
9/18/2026, 4:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/18/2026, 3:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/18/2026, 2:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM	93.5%
9/17/2026, 11:45:00 PM	93.5%
9/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM	93.5%
9/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM	93.5%
9/17/2026, 9:00:00 PM	93.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$83.2K

Volume vs Baseline

0.4x baseline

Liquidity

$109.6K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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