Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 9 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-14 19:07 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.1pp
  • 24h volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $70,037

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$94.3K

Volume vs Baseline

4.5x baseline

Liquidity

$70.0K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 13, 2026

Attention Score

65

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 1
Volume Activity 94
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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