Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

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Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

+0.5 pp

Signal Score

31/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 0.5pp; volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 10 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-14 23:01 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 0.5pp
  • 24h volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $75,652

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.5%

24h Change

+0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$76.2K

Volume vs Baseline

2.5x baseline

Liquidity

$75.7K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 13, 2026

Attention Score

46

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.

Probability Momentum 2
Volume Activity 57
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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