Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Open · Resolves in 99 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+0.2 pp

Signal Score

33/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 0.2pp; volume is 2.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 23 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 22:50 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 0.2pp
24h volume is 2.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $138,704

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

148 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 10:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/23/2026, 10:45:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 6:15:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 1:15:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 11:00:00 AM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 9:00:00 AM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 7:30:00 AM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 7:00:00 AM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM	99.9%
9/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 4:00:00 AM	100.0%
9/23/2026, 3:00:00 AM	99.8%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$79.4K

Volume vs Baseline

2.8x baseline

Liquidity

$138.7K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 99 days

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 33/100.

Probability Momentum 1

Volume Activity 65

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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