GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Open · Resolves in 515 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

72.5%

24h Change

-19.0 pp

Signal Score

67/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 19.0pp; volume is 7.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 19.0pp
24h volume is 7.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $9,382

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

72.5%

24h Change

-19.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM	72.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM	68.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM	65.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM	64.0%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM	63.0%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM	82.0%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	90.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	92.0%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	94.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	94.0%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	94.0%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	94.0%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	90.0%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	90.0%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	90.0%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	90.0%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	89.0%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	88.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	91.0%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	91.0%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	90.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	90.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	90.5%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	90.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+7.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$50.6K

Volume vs Baseline

7.9x baseline

Liquidity

$9.4K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 515 days

End Date

Jan 1, 2028

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 67/100.

Probability Momentum 63

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 79

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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