Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Iran leader end of 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
Unchanged
Signal Score
43/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
24h probability fell 0.0pp; volume is 1801.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.0pp
- 24h volume is 1801.4x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $60,271
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$1.4M
Volume vs Baseline
1801.4x baseline
Liquidity
$60.3K
Market Significance
High (84)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 103 days
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Attention Score
70
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.