Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Fed Decision in July?
Current Probability
79.5%
24h Change
+7.8 pp
Signal Score
52/100
Data Confidence
High (87)
24h probability rose 7.8pp; volume is 2.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 7.8pp
- 24h volume is 2.6x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $285,987
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
79.5%
24h Change
+7.8 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+4.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$3.2M
Volume vs Baseline
2.6x baseline
Liquidity
$286.0K
Market Significance
High (87)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Attention Score
57
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.