Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Fed Decision in July?
Current Probability
0.3%
24h Change
-0.3 pp
Signal Score
44/100
Data Confidence
High (86)
24h probability fell 0.3pp; volume is 3.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.3pp
- 24h volume is 3.6x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $2,936,685
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.3%
24h Change
-0.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$3.1M
Volume vs Baseline
3.6x baseline
Liquidity
$2.9M
Market Significance
High (87)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Attention Score
60
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.