Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Open · Resolves in 88 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

44.8%

24h Change

+0.6 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 0.6pp; volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-21 10:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 0.6pp
  • 24h volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $46,726

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

44.8%

24h Change

+0.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$305.6K

Volume vs Baseline

1.7x baseline

Liquidity

$46.7K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 88 days

End Date

Oct 31, 2026

Attention Score

36

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 2
Volume Activity 34
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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