Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

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Current Probability

0.4%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

volume is 0.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 30 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-21 12:55 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • 24h volume is 0.9x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $27,876

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.4%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$381.7K

Volume vs Baseline

0.9x baseline

Liquidity

$27.9K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jun 1, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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