Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Current Probability
0.7%
24h Change
+0.3 pp
Signal Score
22/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability rose 0.3pp; volume is 0.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 0.3pp
- 24h volume is 0.4x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $21,742
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.7%
24h Change
+0.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$429.3K
Volume vs Baseline
0.4x baseline
Liquidity
$21.7K
Market Significance
High (80)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jun 1, 2026
Attention Score
19
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 22/100.