No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Bank of Japan Decision in July?
Current Probability
98.7%
24h Change
-0.2 pp
Signal Score
50/100
Data Confidence
High (85)
24h probability fell 0.2pp; volume is 11.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.2pp
- 24h volume is 11.2x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $20,390
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
98.7%
24h Change
-0.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM | 98.7% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 99.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 99.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 98.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 98.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 99.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 99.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 98.9% |
| 7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 99.4% |
| 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 99.4% |
| 7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 99.3% |
| 7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 99.3% |
| 7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 98.9% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$72.9K
Volume vs Baseline
11.2x baseline
Liquidity
$20.4K
Market Significance
Moderate (68)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Attention Score
67
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 1
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 100
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 83
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 80
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (85)