Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

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Current Probability

0.7%

24h Change

-0.4 pp

Signal Score

50/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability fell 0.4pp; volume is 14.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.4pp
24h volume is 14.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $54,447

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.7%

24h Change

-0.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

38 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM	0.7%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.0%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM	1.2%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM	1.4%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM	2.1%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.9%
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM	0.9%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.9%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.7%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.6%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.6%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.4%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$99.5K

Volume vs Baseline

14.5x baseline

Liquidity

$54.4K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.

Probability Momentum 1

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 78

Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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