Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.8%

24h Change

+0.1 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 0.1pp; volume is 5.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-21 04:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 0.1pp
24h volume is 5.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $166,309

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.8%

24h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

93 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 21, 04:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
9/21/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.8%
9/21/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.8%
9/21/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.8%
9/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.8%
9/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.8%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.8%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM	1.5%
9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM	1.6%
9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM	1.1%
9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM	1.0%
9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM	1.0%
9/20/2026, 10:45:00 AM	1.0%
9/20/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.9%
9/20/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.9%
9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.9%
9/20/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.7%
9/20/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.7%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$106.3K

Volume vs Baseline

5.4x baseline

Liquidity

$166.3K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Oct 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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