Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Open · Resolves in 99 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

13.0%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 1.0pp; volume is 7.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 12 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-11 19:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 1.0pp
  • 24h volume is 7.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $83,522

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

13.0%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$100.0K

Volume vs Baseline

7.5x baseline

Liquidity

$83.5K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 99 days

End Date

Jan 1, 2027

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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