Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Open · Resolves in 102 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

8.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

Signal Score

48/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 4.0pp; volume is 66.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 40 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 10:53 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 4.0pp
  • 24h volume is 66.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $226,381

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

8.5%

24h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$340.0K

Volume vs Baseline

66.2x baseline

Liquidity

$226.4K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 102 days

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Attention Score

73

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.

Probability Momentum 13
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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