Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Open · Resolves in 325 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

3.8%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

volume is 47.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • 24h volume is 47.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $488,106

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 3.8% · Aug 10, 04:45 PM

3% 6% 4% Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 3.8% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

3.8%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

167 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 3.8%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 3.8%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 3.8%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$79.0K

Volume vs Baseline

47.2x baseline

Liquidity

$488.1K

Market Significance

High (86)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 325 days

End Date

Jul 1, 2027

Attention Score

68

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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