Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Open · Resolves in 281 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

Signal Score

47/100

Data Confidence

High (84)

24h probability fell 0.3pp; volume is 30.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-23 00:10 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.3pp
  • 24h volume is 30.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $319,294

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.5% · Sep 23, 12:00 AM

0% 3% 1% Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 23 Current 0.5% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

0.5%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

154 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 23, 12:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
9/23/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.5%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.6%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 11:15:00 AM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.7%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.7%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$143.1K

Volume vs Baseline

30.5x baseline

Liquidity

$319.3K

Market Significance

High (86)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 281 days

End Date

Jul 1, 2027

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 47/100.

Probability Momentum 1
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 50
Data Confidence High (84)

Next Steps

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