Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-17.0 pp
Signal Score
71/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability fell 17.0pp; volume is 53.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 17.0pp
- 24h volume is 53.1x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $122,669
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-17.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$832.8K
Volume vs Baseline
53.1x baseline
Liquidity
$122.7K
Market Significance
High (86)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Attention Score
87
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.