Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-0.1 pp
Signal Score
46/100
Data Confidence
Very High (90)
24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 2.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.1pp
- 24h volume is 2.8x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $1,516,986
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$7.1M
Volume vs Baseline
2.8x baseline
Liquidity
$1.5M
Market Significance
High (87)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Attention Score
52
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 46/100.