Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Current Probability
12.5%
24h Change
+1.0 pp
Signal Score
43/100
Data Confidence
High (90)
24h probability rose 1.0pp; volume is 2.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 1.0pp
- 24h volume is 2.1x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $72,470
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
12.5%
24h Change
+1.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+1.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$8.0M
Volume vs Baseline
2.1x baseline
Liquidity
$72.5K
Market Significance
High (86)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Attention Score
44
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.