Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Current Probability
0.5%
24h Change
-0.4 pp
Signal Score
49/100
Data Confidence
High (89)
24h probability fell 0.4pp; volume is 3.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.4pp
- 24h volume is 3.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $151,178
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.5%
24h Change
-0.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$6.9M
Volume vs Baseline
3.7x baseline
Liquidity
$151.2K
Market Significance
High (87)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 16, 2026
Attention Score
61
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 49/100.