Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Open · Resolves in 148 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

15.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 2.0pp; volume is 18.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 2.0pp
  • 24h volume is 18.9x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $49,811

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 15.5% · Aug 6, 10:15 AM

13% 16% 16% Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 6 Aug 6 Current 15.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

15.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM 15.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM 15.0%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 15.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 14.0%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 14.0%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 14.0%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 14.0%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 14.0%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 15.0%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 14.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 14.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 15.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$63.2K

Volume vs Baseline

18.9x baseline

Liquidity

$49.8K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 148 days

End Date

Jan 1, 2027

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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