Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Open · Resolves in 100 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

10.5%

24h Change

+1.4 pp

Signal Score

46/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability rose 1.4pp; volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 29 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-25 10:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 1.4pp
  • 24h volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $64,321

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

10.5%

24h Change

+1.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$105.9K

Volume vs Baseline

4.8x baseline

Liquidity

$64.3K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 100 days

End Date

Jan 1, 2027

Attention Score

68

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 46/100.

Probability Momentum 5
Volume Activity 97
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 42
Data Confidence High (83)

Next Steps

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