Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
Current Probability
9.0%
24h Change
Unchanged
Signal Score
39/100
Data Confidence
High (78)
24h probability fell 0.0pp; volume is 167.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.0pp
- 24h volume is 167.4x the prior 6-day daily average
- Low liquidity ($3,038)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
9.0%
24h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 9.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 10.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 9.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 9.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 9.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 9.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 9.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$58.6K
Volume vs Baseline
167.4x baseline
Liquidity
$3.0K
Market Significance
Moderate (65)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 57 days
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Attention Score
65
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 39/100.