Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

-63.5 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 63.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-22 21:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $20,153
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.5% · Sep 22, 09:00 PM

0% 36% 73% Sep 21 Sep 22 Sep 22 Sep 22 Current 0.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.5%

24h Change

-63.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

129 stored snapshots · Latest sample Sep 22, 09:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.4%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM 23.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM 48.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM 62.5%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM 64.5%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM 64.5%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM 65.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM 65.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM 66.0%
9/22/2026, 11:00:00 AM 66.0%
9/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM 66.0%
9/22/2026, 9:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/22/2026, 6:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM 65.0%
9/22/2026, 4:00:00 AM 65.0%
9/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM 65.0%
9/22/2026, 2:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/22/2026, 12:00:00 AM 65.5%
9/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM 65.0%
9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM 65.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$97.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$20.2K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 22, 2026

Attention Score

47

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 84
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.