Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Current Probability
4.9%
24h Change
-5.1 pp
Signal Score
27/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
24h probability fell 5.1pp; volume is 0.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 5.1pp
- 24h volume is 0.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $22,349
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
4.9%
24h Change
-5.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM | 4.9% |
| 7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 5.2% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 5.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 5.1% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 5.1% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 5.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 5.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 5.3% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 5.3% |
| 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 5.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 5.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 5.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 5.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 5.1% |
| 7/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 5.9% |
| 7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 5.8% |
| 7/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 5.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 5.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 7.8% |
| 7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 5.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 5.6% |
| 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 8.4% |
| 7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 8.8% |
| 7/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 5.7% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.7 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$45.0K
Volume vs Baseline
0.7x baseline
Liquidity
$22.3K
Market Significance
High (74)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 149 days
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Attention Score
21
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 27/100.