Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?

Open · Resolves in 149 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

9.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

Signal Score

52/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability fell 0.5pp; volume is 140.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.5pp
24h volume is 140.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $6,720

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

9.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

11 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM	9.5%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM	10.0%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM	10.0%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM	10.0%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM	10.0%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM	10.0%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM	10.0%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM	10.0%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM	10.0%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM	10.0%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM	10.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$22.8K

Volume vs Baseline

140.6x baseline

Liquidity

$6.7K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 149 days

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.

Probability Momentum 2

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 74

Persistence 100

Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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