Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Open · Resolves in 324 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

12.0%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 2.0pp; volume is 6.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 15 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 07:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 2.0pp
24h volume is 6.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $24,860

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

12.0%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

168 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 07:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	12.0%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	13.5%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	13.0%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	13.0%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	13.0%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	19.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	12.0%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	10.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	8.0%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	8.0%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	8.0%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	8.0%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	8.0%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	10.0%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	10.0%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	10.0%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	10.0%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	10.0%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	10.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$92.1K

Volume vs Baseline

6.8x baseline

Liquidity

$24.9K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 324 days

End Date

Jul 1, 2027

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 7

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗