Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

Open · Resolves in 104 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+42.5 pp

Signal Score

92/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability rose 42.5pp; volume is 5457.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 31 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-19 22:28 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 42.5pp
  • 24h volume is 5457.7x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $144,759

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

100.0%

24h Change

+42.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+7.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$632.8K

Volume vs Baseline

5457.7x baseline

Liquidity

$144.8K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 104 days

End Date

Jan 1, 2027

Attention Score

100

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 92/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 51
Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

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