Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Open · Resolves in 150 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

25.0%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

Signal Score

44/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 1.5pp; volume is 7.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-21 10:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 1.5pp
  • 24h volume is 7.9x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $315,797

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

25.0%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$188.6K

Volume vs Baseline

7.9x baseline

Liquidity

$315.8K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 150 days

End Date

Jan 1, 2027

Attention Score

70

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.

Probability Momentum 5
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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