Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

19/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 1.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.1pp
24h volume is 1.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $239,968

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

68 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.2%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$301.7K

Volume vs Baseline

1.2x baseline

Liquidity

$240.0K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jun 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 19/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 12

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (80)

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