Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

20/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 1.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 22 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-31 22:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.1pp
  • 24h volume is 1.3x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $162,650

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$130.7K

Volume vs Baseline

1.3x baseline

Liquidity

$162.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

26

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 20/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 14
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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