Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?

Open · Resolves in 27 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 6.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.1pp
24h volume is 6.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $18,650

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.3%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.6%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$40.9K

Volume vs Baseline

6.2x baseline

Liquidity

$18.7K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 27 days

End Date

Sep 2, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 80

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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