Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

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Current Probability

3.4%

24h Change

+0.9 pp

Signal Score

29/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability rose 0.9pp; volume is 1.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 0.9pp
  • 24h volume is 1.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $64,176

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 3.4% · Jul 31, 09:45 PM

0% 3% 4% Jul 30 Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 3.4% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

3.4%

24h Change

+0.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

86 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM 3.4%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 1.4%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.9%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 1.0%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.4%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.9%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.9%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.8%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 1.1%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 1.3%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 1.3%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 1.3%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 1.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 1.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 1.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 1.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 1.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 1.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM 1.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM 1.8%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM 2.1%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM 2.3%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM 2.3%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM 2.6%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+2.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$144.0K

Volume vs Baseline

1.4x baseline

Liquidity

$64.2K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

29

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 29/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 20
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 62
Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

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