Will Rodri join Barcelona?

Open · Resolves in 25 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

90.5%

24h Change

+72.6 pp

Signal Score

88/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 72.6pp; volume is 23.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 04:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 72.6pp
24h volume is 23.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Low liquidity ($3,906)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

90.5%

24h Change

+72.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

139 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	90.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	89.3%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	89.8%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	89.6%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	87.0%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	88.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	88.1%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	84.6%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	84.1%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM	81.0%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM	80.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM	80.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM	74.3%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM	75.3%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM	76.6%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM	82.1%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM	28.1%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM	24.7%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM	25.4%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM	37.4%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM	46.2%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM	18.8%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM	17.3%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM	28.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$59.7K

Volume vs Baseline

23.8x baseline

Liquidity

$3.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (64)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 25 days

End Date

Sep 2, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 88/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 76

Persistence 41

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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