Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Current Probability
16.5%
24h Change
-3.0 pp
Signal Score
44/100
Data Confidence
High (79)
24h probability fell 3.0pp; volume is 12.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 3.0pp
- 24h volume is 12.1x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $38,552
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
16.5%
24h Change
-3.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$115.5K
Volume vs Baseline
12.1x baseline
Liquidity
$38.6K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 100 days
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Attention Score
70
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 44/100.