US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

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Current Probability

1.7%

24h Change

-1.8 pp

Signal Score

19/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 1.8pp; volume is 1.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 1.8pp
24h volume is 1.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $70,427

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

1.7%

24h Change

-1.8 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM	1.7%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM	1.7%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.6%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM	1.7%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM	1.4%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.7%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.7%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM	2.5%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM	2.5%
7/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM	2.3%
7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM	2.8%
7/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM	2.7%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM	2.7%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM	2.6%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM	3.0%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM	3.3%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM	3.4%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM	3.5%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM	3.1%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM	3.3%
7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM	3.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$34.9K

Volume vs Baseline

1.2x baseline

Liquidity

$70.4K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 19/100.

Probability Momentum 6

Volume Activity 9

Liquidity Quality 84

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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