Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

volume is 9.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 38 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-17 16:32 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • 24h volume is 9.3x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $35,532

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$86.6K

Volume vs Baseline

9.3x baseline

Liquidity

$35.5K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

67

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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