Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

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Current Probability

10.5%

24h Change

+4.9 pp

Signal Score

47/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 4.9pp; volume is 7.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 45 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 11:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 4.9pp
  • 24h volume is 7.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $47,039

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

10.5%

24h Change

+4.9 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$80.8K

Volume vs Baseline

7.5x baseline

Liquidity

$47.0K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 31, 2026

Attention Score

72

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 47/100.

Probability Momentum 16
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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