Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Largest Company end of July?
Current Probability
100.0%
24h Change
+32.5 pp
Signal Score
80/100
Data Confidence
High (81)
24h probability rose 32.5pp; volume is 3.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 32.5pp
- 24h volume is 3.1x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $70,777
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
100.0%
24h Change
+32.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 99.9% |
| 7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 99.9% |
| 7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 99.8% |
| 7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 98.6% |
| 7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 99.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 97.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 91.3% |
| 7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 91.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 88.7% |
| 7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 90.4% |
| 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 88.3% |
| 7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 88.9% |
| 7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 82.8% |
| 7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 87.1% |
| 7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 85.0% |
| 7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 79.4% |
| 7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 71.0% |
| 7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 73.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 80.2% |
| 7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 75.4% |
| 7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 67.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$574.2K
Volume vs Baseline
3.1x baseline
Liquidity
$70.8K
Market Significance
High (77)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Attention Score
85
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 80/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 100
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 71
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 96
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (81)